【新唐人2011年3月30日讯】2011年为辛亥革命百年，今天中国的局势和晚清有很多相似之处，再加上中东北非民主革命浪潮越演越烈，中国未来走向也是观察家们热衷讨论的话题。近日，有学者指出，中共内部腐败，中国巨变为期不远。
新唐人電視台 http://www.ntdtv.com
据台湾《联合报》报导，旅居澳大利亚的著名作家、法学家袁红冰教授，3月28号到台湾政治大学发表“中国自由民主的展望及其影响”专题演讲。他在演讲中指出，二○一三到二○一五年中间，大陆将会发生重大政治事件，政治体制将出现巨变。
袁红冰强调，目前的共产党是个腐败的政党。虽然很多人看到它经济成长，但却是从资源毁灭性开发、长期剥削农民工而来。他还指出，目前大陆百分之卅的土地遭到几百种重金属污染，黄河断流、长江水系崩溃、北方沙漠化，生态难民会是未来三年最严重的问题。
目前，大陆三亿多农民工每天劳动却只领取不到一元美金的酬劳，全国大部分的财产掌握在百分之一的领导阶层手中，社会产生了巨大矛盾。袁红冰认为，这样的社会环境，是产生社会革命的必然模式。
同时，世界媒体也在质疑中共政府近期所为，怀疑内部出现了问题。29号，法国论坛报发表一篇题为《沸腾的中国静悄悄》的文章。文章作者经济博士福洛朗蒂诺指出，世界处于沸点，地球在爆炸。只有中国在国际经济，金融和政治舞台上却不可置信的悄然无声。
福洛朗蒂诺分析，中共不参与反卡扎菲的行动倒不足为奇。但是，债务率飙升，本应该购進希腊，爱尔兰，葡萄牙或西班牙的公债，然而却看不到任何一个中国买者。另外，中共也没有参与干预日元的上升。福洛朗蒂诺认为，中共的这次沉默是因为中国内部隐藏着深层危机。
虽然中共的统治出现了危机，袁红冰认为，促成中国的巨变还要等待时机。他在2月28号布里斯班演讲中表示，中共把国家恐怖主义发挥到极致，在中国爆发一次人民革命确实很难。
袁红冰：“但就我对中国的了解，在中国内部，造成像前苏联共产帝国崩溃的所有社会因素迅速成熟起来，社会矛盾早已经达到了革命的临界点，现在等待只是一次历史的偶然性，来点燃达到这一临界点的社会矛盾。”
袁红冰认为，虽然很难判断那一天发生革命，但他相信很快就会发生。
新唐人记者宋风、孙宁综合报导。
China Next on the Revolution List
2011 is the 100th anniversary of the 1911 Revolution. With China's current situation and the revolutions in the Middle East and North Africa, China's future has become a widely discussed topic. Scholars believe corruption in the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) will bring major change to China very soon.
According to United Daily New, renowned author and scholar, Yuan Hongbing, predicted during a speech at Nation Chengchi University in Taiwan that major political events and structural changes would occur in China between 2013 and 2015.
Yuan emphasized that the communist party has become thoroughly corrupt. Its economic growth is built on the destructive exploitation of natural and human resources. He also pointed out that eco-disasters, like soil contamination and land desertification would be some of China's biggest problems in the next 3 years.
Today, over 300 million workers struggle on daily wages of less than USD1. Most of China's wealth is controlled by 1% of its population, causing acute social conflicts. Yuan believes that such conflicts will lead to a revolution.
Media suspect internal problems in the CCP. La Tribune published an article describing China as “boiling silently” while the rest of the world explodes economically and politically.
The article pointed out China's invisibility in the Euro zone bond buys. China also did not help with the rise of the Japanese Yen. The article said that these are signs of deep crisis in China. 。 Yuan Hongbing thinks the timing has to be right for changes to occur in China. On February 28 he said it would be very difficult to start a revolution under the currently incited extreme nationalism.
“Based on my understanding of China, conditions are maturing for a revolution similar to that in the Soviet Union. Social conflicts are on the verge of an outbreak. We are only waiting for the right timing, a spark to set such conflicts on fire.”
袁红冰认为，虽然很难判断那一天发生革命，但他相信很快就会发生。 Yuan believes that a revolution will occur very soon.
NTD reporters Song Feng and Sun Ning 2011-03-30 10:53:00 http://www.ntdtv.com/xtr/gb/2011/03/30/a512159.html.-【禁闻】学者：中共腐败-中国巨变为期不远.html
新唐人電視台 http://www.ntdtv.com
据台湾《联合报》报导，旅居澳大利亚的著名作家、法学家袁红冰教授，3月28号到台湾政治大学发表“中国自由民主的展望及其影响”专题演讲。他在演讲中指出，二○一三到二○一五年中间，大陆将会发生重大政治事件，政治体制将出现巨变。
袁红冰强调，目前的共产党是个腐败的政党。虽然很多人看到它经济成长，但却是从资源毁灭性开发、长期剥削农民工而来。他还指出，目前大陆百分之卅的土地遭到几百种重金属污染，黄河断流、长江水系崩溃、北方沙漠化，生态难民会是未来三年最严重的问题。
目前，大陆三亿多农民工每天劳动却只领取不到一元美金的酬劳，全国大部分的财产掌握在百分之一的领导阶层手中，社会产生了巨大矛盾。袁红冰认为，这样的社会环境，是产生社会革命的必然模式。
同时，世界媒体也在质疑中共政府近期所为，怀疑内部出现了问题。29号，法国论坛报发表一篇题为《沸腾的中国静悄悄》的文章。文章作者经济博士福洛朗蒂诺指出，世界处于沸点，地球在爆炸。只有中国在国际经济，金融和政治舞台上却不可置信的悄然无声。
福洛朗蒂诺分析，中共不参与反卡扎菲的行动倒不足为奇。但是，债务率飙升，本应该购進希腊，爱尔兰，葡萄牙或西班牙的公债，然而却看不到任何一个中国买者。另外，中共也没有参与干预日元的上升。福洛朗蒂诺认为，中共的这次沉默是因为中国内部隐藏着深层危机。
虽然中共的统治出现了危机，袁红冰认为，促成中国的巨变还要等待时机。他在2月28号布里斯班演讲中表示，中共把国家恐怖主义发挥到极致，在中国爆发一次人民革命确实很难。
袁红冰：“但就我对中国的了解，在中国内部，造成像前苏联共产帝国崩溃的所有社会因素迅速成熟起来，社会矛盾早已经达到了革命的临界点，现在等待只是一次历史的偶然性，来点燃达到这一临界点的社会矛盾。”
袁红冰认为，虽然很难判断那一天发生革命，但他相信很快就会发生。
新唐人记者宋风、孙宁综合报导。
China Next on the Revolution List
2011 is the 100th anniversary of the 1911 Revolution. With China's current situation and the revolutions in the Middle East and North Africa, China's future has become a widely discussed topic. Scholars believe corruption in the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) will bring major change to China very soon.
According to United Daily New, renowned author and scholar, Yuan Hongbing, predicted during a speech at Nation Chengchi University in Taiwan that major political events and structural changes would occur in China between 2013 and 2015.
Yuan emphasized that the communist party has become thoroughly corrupt. Its economic growth is built on the destructive exploitation of natural and human resources. He also pointed out that eco-disasters, like soil contamination and land desertification would be some of China's biggest problems in the next 3 years.
Today, over 300 million workers struggle on daily wages of less than USD1. Most of China's wealth is controlled by 1% of its population, causing acute social conflicts. Yuan believes that such conflicts will lead to a revolution.
Media suspect internal problems in the CCP. La Tribune published an article describing China as “boiling silently” while the rest of the world explodes economically and politically.
The article pointed out China's invisibility in the Euro zone bond buys. China also did not help with the rise of the Japanese Yen. The article said that these are signs of deep crisis in China. 。 Yuan Hongbing thinks the timing has to be right for changes to occur in China. On February 28 he said it would be very difficult to start a revolution under the currently incited extreme nationalism.
“Based on my understanding of China, conditions are maturing for a revolution similar to that in the Soviet Union. Social conflicts are on the verge of an outbreak. We are only waiting for the right timing, a spark to set such conflicts on fire.”
袁红冰认为，虽然很难判断那一天发生革命，但他相信很快就会发生。 Yuan believes that a revolution will occur very soon.
NTD reporters Song Feng and Sun Ning 2011-03-30 10:53:00 http://www.ntdtv.com/xtr/gb/2011/03/30/a512159.html.-【禁闻】学者：中共腐败-中国巨变为期不远.html
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